Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

2 platforms$41.9K volumePart of What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Updated 7 min ago
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Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.

PPolymarket

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

Trade
Volume
$24.8K
24h vol
$0
Depth
Thin
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
KKalshi

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

OutcomeClip-on device for clothing

Trade
Volume
$17.2K
24h vol
$5
Depth
Thin
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Polymarket
4%
Kalshi
7%

Contract rules

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

PPolymarket

Description

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

Close date
Dec 31, 2026

Description

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Clip-on device for clothing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution criteria

If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes.

Close date
Jan 1, 2027

Other outcomes in this event

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
32% implied probability
19% implied probability
17% implied probability
13% implied probability
10% implied probability
+6.3%
10% implied probability
10% implied probability
+1.0%
8% implied probability
+2.3%

Showing 8 of 9 outcomes

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