Who will win the next presidential election?
2 platforms$10.7M volumePart of 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? – In 2028
Compare prices
Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.
Who will win the next presidential election?
OutcomeDonald J. Trump
- Volume
- $2.3M
- 24h vol
- $1.6K
- Depth
- Moderate
- Closes
- Nov 7, 2029
Best cross-venue arbitrage
Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Who will win the next presidential election?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.
Fees
For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.
From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.
- Kalshi
- 7%
- Polymarket
- 4%
Contract rules
Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.
Description
If Donald J. Trump is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Description
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Other outcomes in this event
Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.
Showing 8 of 38 outcomes
