2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? – In 2028

KPMatchCombined volume $666.3MCloses 42mo
Updated 3 min ago

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Best Yes
Best No
Details
17% implied probability
15% implied probability
14% implied probability
6% implied probability
+0.6%
5% implied probability
+0.6%
5% implied probability
3% implied probability
+0.2%
3% implied probability

Showing 8 of 39 outcomes

Venue details

Volume, depth, close times, and each venue's trading-fee metadata (same values we use in the comparison above). Hover a fee cell for the venue's full fee wording.

Venue
Volume
24h vol
Depth
Closes
Fee
$42.7M
$113.6K
Deep
Nov 7, 2029
7%
$623.6M
$648.0K
Deep
Nov 7, 2028
4%
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Contract rules

Raw venue wording can differ even when titles match. Kalshi often shows one representative contract when rules vary by outcome—open the venue for the full set.

KKalshi
Representative · 29 outcomes

For James Talarico

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Description

If James Talarico is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Closes
Nov 7, 2029
Resolves
Jan 21, 2029
PPolymarket
Shared · 36 outcomes
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Description

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Closes
Nov 7, 2028