Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 platforms$1.6M volumePart of Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? – Before Jan 1, 2045
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Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- Volume
- $30.1K
- 24h vol
- $447
- Depth
- Thin
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2045
Best cross-venue arbitrage
Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.
Fees
For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.
From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.
- Kalshi
- 7%
- Polymarket
- No trading fee
Contract rules
Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.
Description
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Naftali Bennett, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution criteria
The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
Description
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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