Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? – Before Jan 1, 2045

Total volume $91.0KCloses 227mo
Updated 6 min ago

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Best Yes
Best No
Arb
Details
39% implied probability
26% implied probability
7% implied probability
5% implied probability
4% implied probability
3% implied probability
3% implied probability
2% implied probability

Showing 8 of 12 outcomes

Venue details

Volume, depth, close times, and each venue's trading-fee metadata (same values we use in the comparison above). Hover a fee cell for the venue's full fee wording.

Venue
Volume
24h vol
Depth
Closes
Fee
$91.0K
$448
Thin
Jan 1, 2045
7%
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Contract rules

Raw venue wording can differ even when titles match. Kalshi often shows one representative contract when rules vary by outcome—open the venue for the full set.

KKalshi
Representative · 12 outcomes

For Naftali Bennett

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Description

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Naftali Bennett, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution

The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.

Closes
Jan 1, 2045