Next French presidential election winner? – In 2027

KPMatchCombined volume $139.9MCloses 21mo
Updated 4 min ago

Compare odds on Next French presidential election winner? – In 2027

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Best Yes
Best No
Details
41% implied probability
20% implied probability
1% implied probability
+0.4%
14% implied probability
9% implied probability
+2.3%
6% implied probability
1% implied probability
+0.5%
1% implied probability

Showing 8 of 43 outcomes

Venue details

Volume, depth, close times, and each venue's trading-fee metadata (same values we use in the comparison above). Hover a fee cell for the venue's full fee wording.

Venue
Volume
24h vol
Depth
Closes
Fee
$360.8K
$1.0K
Moderate
May 30, 2028
7%
$139.5M
$911.3K
Deep
Apr 19, 2027
4%
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Contract Rules: Next French presidential election winner? – In 2027

Raw venue wording can differ even when titles match. Kalshi often shows one representative contract when rules vary by outcome—open the venue for the full set.

KKalshi
Representative · 29 outcomes

For Christine Lagarde

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Description

If Christine Lagarde wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Closes
May 30, 2028
Resolves
May 31, 2027
PPolymarket
Shared · 42 outcomes
View contract↗

Description

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Closes
Apr 19, 2027
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