Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 platforms$504.6K volumePart of Next French Presidential Election
Compare prices on Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
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Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
- Volume
- $504.6K
- 24h vol
- $174.2K
- Depth
- Deep
- Closes
- Apr 19, 2027
Best cross-venue arbitrage
Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.
Fees
For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.
From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.
- Polymarket
- 4%
- Kalshi
- 7%
Contract rules on Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.
Description
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Description
If Christine Lagarde wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Other outcomes in Next French Presidential Election
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