Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2 platforms$1.0M volumePart of Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Updated 8 min ago
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PPolymarket

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

OutcomeDemocratic

Trade
Volume
$806.2K
24h vol
$11
Depth
Deep
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
KKalshi

Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028?

OutcomeDemocratic party

Trade
Volume
$217.4K
24h vol
$3.9K
Depth
Moderate
Closes
Nov 7, 2029
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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Polymarket
4%
Kalshi
7%

Contract rules

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

PPolymarket

Description

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Close date
Nov 7, 2028

Description

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Close date
Nov 7, 2029
Resolution date
Jan 21, 2029

Other outcomes in this event

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
41% implied probability
Best odds on Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Pre… | LocksBet