Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?
2 platforms$6.9K volumePart of How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
Compare prices
Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026?
Outcome↑ 46%
- Volume
- $721
- 24h vol
- $0
- Depth
- Thin
- Closes
- Dec 31, 2026
Fees
For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.
From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.
- Polymarket
- 4%
- Kalshi
- 7%
Contract rules
Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.
Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Description
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is above 46%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution criteria
In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.
Other outcomes in this event
Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.
