Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2 platforms$14.4M volumePart of Presidential Election Winner 2028

Updated 7 min ago
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PPolymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Trade
Volume
$10.4M
24h vol
$5.8K
Depth
Deep
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
KKalshi

Who will win the next presidential election?

OutcomeMarco Rubio

Trade
Volume
$4.0M
24h vol
$8.8K
Depth
Moderate
Closes
Nov 7, 2029
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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Polymarket
4%
Kalshi
7%

Contract rules

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

PPolymarket

Description

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Close date
Nov 7, 2028

Description

If Marco Rubio is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Close date
Nov 7, 2029
Resolution date
Jan 21, 2029

Other outcomes in this event

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
15% implied probability
14% implied probability
6% implied probability
+0.6%
5% implied probability
+0.6%
5% implied probability
3% implied probability
+0.2%
3% implied probability
2% implied probability
+0.8%

Showing 8 of 38 outcomes