Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 platforms$6.1M volumePart of What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Compare prices on Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Outcome↑ 250,000
- Volume
- $5.3M
- 24h vol
- $31
- Depth
- Deep
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027
Fees
For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.
From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.
- Polymarket
- 7%
- Kalshi
- 7%
Contract rules on Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.
Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Description
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $250000 starting 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution criteria
The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
Other outcomes in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.
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