Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

2 platforms$66.1K volumePart of 2028 Democratic VP nominee – In 2028

Updated 10 min ago
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Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.

KKalshi

Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?

Trade
Volume
$65.2K
24h vol
$104
Depth
Thin
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
PPolymarket

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Trade
Volume
$929
24h vol
$0
Depth
Moderate
Closes
Aug 10, 2028

Best cross-venue arbitrage

Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.

Yes onPolymarket3.6¢+No onKalshi96.1¢=99.7¢combined·+0.3% implied
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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Kalshi
7%
Polymarket
4%

Contract rules

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If Josh Shapiro accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Close date
Nov 7, 2028
PPolymarket
View contract

Description

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Close date
Aug 10, 2028

Other outcomes in this event

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
8% implied probability
+1.9%
6% implied probability
+10.9%
10% implied probability
7% implied probability
4% implied probability
+2.0%
5% implied probability
6% implied probability
6% implied probability

Showing 8 of 48 outcomes