Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN?

Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.

Yes onPolymarket↗19.6¢+No onKalshi↗68.5¢=88.2¢combined·+13.4% implied

Always check contract rules before trading.Compare contract rules ↓

Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Kalshi: 7%
Polymarket: 4%

Contract rules

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If Rebeca Grynspan is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Close date

Jan 5, 2027

PPolymarket

View contract↗

Description

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Close date

Dec 31, 2026