Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence in before 2027?

1 platform$563.6K volumePart of Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? – before 2027

Updated 1 hr ago
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KKalshi

Will Tulsi Gabbard leaves Director of National Intelligence in before 2027?

Trade
Volume
$563.6K
24h vol
$2.0K
Depth
Moderate
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
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Fees

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Trading fees

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Kalshi
7%

Contract rules

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If Tulsi Gabbard leaves as Director of National Intelligence before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution criteria

Tulsi Gabbard must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No." For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

Close date
Jan 1, 2027
Resolution date
Jan 7, 2027

Other outcomes in this event

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
66% implied probability
65% implied probability
60% implied probability
+4.5%
48% implied probability
51% implied probability
44% implied probability
40% implied probability
41% implied probability
+0.4%

Showing 8 of 35 outcomes