Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

2 platforms$13.4M volumePart of 2028 Republican presidential nominee – In 2028

Updated 6 min ago
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Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.

KKalshi

Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

Trade
Volume
$4.3M
24h vol
$2.9K
Depth
Moderate
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
PPolymarket

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Trade
Volume
$9.1M
24h vol
$34.5K
Depth
Deep
Closes
Nov 7, 2028

Best cross-venue arbitrage

Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.

Yes onPolymarket23.4¢+No onKalshi72.4¢=95.9¢combined·+4.3% implied
Always check contract rules before trading.Compare contract rules ↓

Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Kalshi
7%
Polymarket
4%

Contract rules

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If Marco Rubio wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Close date
Nov 7, 2028
PPolymarket
View contract

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Close date
Nov 7, 2028

Other outcomes in this event

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
33% implied probability
6% implied probability
4% implied probability
+1.5%
4% implied probability
+1.3%
3% implied probability
+0.6%
2% implied probability
+0.2%
2% implied probability
+1.1%
1% implied probability

Showing 8 of 40 outcomes

Best odds on Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for th… | LocksBet