Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
2 platforms$29.9M volumePart of 2028 Democratic presidential nominee – In 2028
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Best cross-venue arbitrage
Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.
Fees
For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.
From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.
- Kalshi
- 7%
- Polymarket
- No trading fee
Contract Rules
Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.
Description
If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
