Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?

1 platform$4.6M volumePart of Fed decision in Jun 2026? – On Jun 17, 2026

Updated 7 min ago
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KKalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?

OutcomeCut 25bps

Trade
Volume
$4.6M
24h vol
$148.0K
Depth
Deep
Closes
Jun 17, 2026
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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

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Kalshi
7%

Contract rules

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KKalshi

Description

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on June 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution criteria

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

Close date
Jun 17, 2026
Resolution date
Jun 17, 2026

Other outcomes in this event

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
99% implied probability
1% implied probability
1% implied probability
1% implied probability
1% implied probability
0% implied probability
0% implied probability
0% implied probability