Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2028?

1 platform$156.3K volumePart of Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? – Before 2027

Updated 6 min ago
Loading…

Compare prices

Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.

KKalshi

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist in 2028?

OutcomeBefore 2028

Trade
Volume
$156.3K
24h vol
$3.4K
Depth
Moderate
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Always check contract rules before trading.Compare contract rules ↓

Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Kalshi
7%

Contract rules

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution criteria

For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.

Close date
Jan 1, 2028
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027

Other outcomes in this event

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
27% implied probability
13% implied probability
6% implied probability
6% implied probability
2% implied probability
1% implied probability
Best odds on Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exis… | LocksBet