Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
2 platforms$3.8M volumePart of Fed decision in Oct 2026? – On Oct 28, 2026
Compare prices on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
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Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
OutcomeFed maintains rate
- Volume
- $1.4M
- 24h vol
- $130.8K
- Depth
- Deep
- Closes
- Oct 28, 2026
Best cross-venue arbitrage
Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.
Fees
For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.
From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.
- Kalshi
- 7%
- Polymarket
- 5%
Contract rules on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.
Description
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution criteria
The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.
Description
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Other outcomes in Fed decision in Oct 2026? – On Oct 28, 2026
Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.
