Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

1 platform$203.1K volumePart of Fed decision in Oct 2026? – On Oct 28, 2026

Updated 9 min ago
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Compare prices on Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.

KKalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

OutcomeCut >25bps

Trade ↗
Volume
$203.1K
24h vol
$468
Depth
Thin
Closes
Oct 28, 2026
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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Kalshi
7%

Contract rules on Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution criteria

The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.

Close date
Oct 28, 2026
Resolution date
Oct 28, 2026

Other outcomes in Fed decision in Oct 2026? – On Oct 28, 2026

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Amber dot means this match was found automatically and has not been manually verified yet. Hover for details.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
69% implied probability
68% implied probability
14% implied probability
+36.3%
31% implied probability
2% implied probability
0% implied probability
0% implied probability
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