Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?

1 platform$7.6M volumePart of Fed decision in Jul 2026? – On Jul 29, 2026

Updated 1 min ago
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Compare prices on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?

Green = best available price per side. Each card shows how that exchange titles the contract, plus liquidity, volume, and close date.

KKalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?

OutcomeHike >25bps

Trade
Volume
$7.6M
24h vol
$17.0K
Depth
Deep
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

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Kalshi
7%

Contract rules on Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting?

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of >25bps on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution criteria

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

Close date
Jul 29, 2026
Resolution date
Jul 29, 2026

Other outcomes in Fed decision in Jul 2026? – On Jul 29, 2026

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Amber dot means this match was found automatically and has not been manually verified yet. Hover for details.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
82% implied probability
17% implied probability
0% implied probability
0% implied probability
1% implied probability
0% implied probability
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