Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

Fee-adjusted Yes on one venue and No on another for Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?. Indigo rings on the prices above mark those asks. Assume equivalent resolution.

Yes onPolymarket↗7.5¢+No onKalshi↗85.9¢=93.4¢combined·+7.1% implied

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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Kalshi: 7%
Polymarket: 7%

Contract rules on Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 1999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution criteria

The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last recorded FDV will be used and the market will resolve immediately. Token migrations to new smart contract addresses are tracked continuously. If CoinGecko changes its FDV calculation methodology, the value displayed at the measurement time under the FDV label will be used regardless. Post-redenomination FDV values (after splits/reverse splits) will be used. All values are in USD as shown on CoinGecko. Values can be expressed in millions (M), billions (B), or trillions (T) format.

Close date

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution date

Jan 1, 2027

PPolymarket

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Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Close date

Jan 1, 2027