Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

1 platform$47.6K volumePart of Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? – Before 2027

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Compare prices on Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

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KKalshi

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

OutcomeBefore November

Trade
Volume
$47.6K
24h vol
$150
Depth
Thin
Closes
Nov 1, 2026
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Fees

For the cross-venue prices shown above — same venue, same schedule for each outcome.

Trading fees

From each venue's own fee data or published rules (Polymarket: fee schedule on the market; Kalshi: official taker formula). The simple percent is a shorthand—actual dollars still depend on price and size. Hover a venue for full wording.

Kalshi
7%

Contract rules on Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Nov 1, 2026?

Compare the exchange-specific contract text behind the prices above.

KKalshi

Description

If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution criteria

For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.

Close date
Nov 1, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027

Other outcomes in Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? – Before 2027

Same cross-venue rows as the event page price table — excluding the contract you are viewing.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
24% implied probability
17% implied probability
6% implied probability
+0.4%
4% implied probability
3% implied probability
3% implied probability
2% implied probability
1% implied probability
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