Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

KPHigh confidence matchCombined volume $168.9KCloses 8mo
Updated just now

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Best Yes
Best No
Details
58% implied probability
+14.1%
28% implied probability
+9.6%
12% implied probability
6% implied probability
1% implied probability
1% implied probability
1% implied probability

Venue details

Volume, depth, close times, and each venue's trading-fee metadata (same values we use in the comparison above). Hover a fee cell for the venue's full fee wording.

Venue
Volume
24h vol
Depth
Closes
Fee
$120.1K
$530
Moderate
Dec 31, 2026
4%
$48.8K
$2.1K
Moderate
Jan 5, 2027
7%
Always verify contract rules before trading.Contract rules ↓

Contract rules

Raw venue wording can differ even when titles match. Kalshi often shows one representative contract when rules vary by outcome—open the venue for the full set.

PPolymarket
Shared · 4 outcomes
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Description

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Closes
Dec 31, 2026
KKalshi
Representative · 7 outcomes

For Rafael Grossi

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Description

If Rafael Grossi is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Closes
Jan 5, 2027