What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

KPPossible matchCombined volume $19.2MCloses 6d
Updated 9 min ago

Compare odds on What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

Best Yes
Best No
Details
38% implied probability
31% implied probability
12% implied probability
6% implied probability
4% implied probability
2% implied probability
1% implied probability
2% implied probability

Showing 8 of 25 outcomes

Venue details

Volume, depth, close times, and each venue's trading-fee metadata (same values we use in the comparison above). Hover a fee cell for the venue's full fee wording.

Venue
Volume
24h vol
Depth
Closes
Fee
$18.6M
$625.9K
Deep
Aug 1, 2026
7%
$582.2K
$15.3K
Deep
Aug 1, 2026
7%
Always verify contract rules before trading.Contract rules ↓

Contract Rules: What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

Raw venue wording can differ even when titles match. Kalshi often shows one representative contract when rules vary by outcome—open the venue for the full set.

PPolymarket
Representative · 19 outcomes

For ↓ 47,500

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Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Closes
Aug 1, 2026
KKalshi
Representative · 7 outcomes

For Below $47,500.00

View contract

Description

If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever below $47500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Closes
Aug 1, 2026