What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

KPMatchCombined volume $516.2KCloses 6mo
Updated 7 min ago

Compare odds on What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Best Yes
Best No
Details
23% implied probability
+9.8%
17% implied probability
+9.7%
14% implied probability
+0.8%
9% implied probability
7% implied probability
+2.3%
8% implied probability
+3.0%
5% implied probability
+1.4%

Showing 8 of 10 outcomes

Venue details

Volume, depth, close times, and each venue's trading-fee metadata (same values we use in the comparison above). Hover a fee cell for the venue's full fee wording.

Venue
Volume
24h vol
Depth
Closes
Fee
$390.6K
$1.4K
Moderate
Dec 31, 2026
4%
$125.7K
$146
Thin
Jan 1, 2027
7%
Always verify contract rules before trading.Contract rules ↓

Contract Rules: What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Raw venue wording can differ even when titles match. Kalshi often shows one representative contract when rules vary by outcome—open the venue for the full set.

PPolymarket
Shared · 10 outcomes
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Description

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

Closes
Dec 31, 2026
KKalshi
Representative · 10 outcomes

For Glasses

View contract

Description

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Glasses before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution

If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes.

Closes
Jan 1, 2027
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