Fed rate hike in 2026?
Compare odds on Fed rate hike in 2026?
Venue details
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Contract Rules: Fed rate hike in 2026?
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Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For Before 2027
Description
If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
