Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027? – Before 2027

KPMatchCombined volume $50.7MCloses 6mo
Updated 1 min ago

Compare odds on Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027? – Before 2027

Best Yes
Best No
Details
74% implied probability
73% implied probability
53% implied probability
47% implied probability
36% implied probability
35% implied probability
26% implied probability
26% implied probability

Showing 8 of 32 outcomes

Venue details

Volume, depth, close times, and each venue's trading-fee metadata (same values we use in the comparison above). Hover a fee cell for the venue's full fee wording.

Venue
Volume
24h vol
Depth
Closes
Fee
$809.8K
$312
Thin
Jan 1, 2027
7%
$49.9M
$83.6K
Deep
Jan 1, 2027
7%
Always verify contract rules before trading.Contract rules ↓

Contract Rules: Will Bitcoin be above $250k by 2027? – Before 2027

Raw venue wording can differ even when titles match. Kalshi often shows one representative contract when rules vary by outcome—open the venue for the full set.

Description

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $250000 starting 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Closes
Jan 1, 2027
PPolymarket
Representative · 32 outcomes

For ↑ 250,000

View contract

Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Closes
Jan 1, 2027