Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

KPMatchCombined volume $42.4MCloses 4mo
Updated 8 min ago

Compare odds on Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Amber dot means this match was found automatically and has not been manually verified yet. Hover for details.

Best Yes
Best No
Details
62% implied probability
17% implied probability
11% implied probability
3% implied probability
4% implied probability
3% implied probability
1% implied probability
1% implied probability

Showing 8 of 34 outcomes

Venue details

Volume, depth, close times, and each venue's trading-fee metadata (same values we use in the comparison above). Hover a fee cell for the venue's full fee wording.

Venue
Volume
24h vol
Depth
Closes
Fee
$8.3M
$226.9K
Deep
Dec 31, 2026
7%
$34.1M
$704.2K
Deep
Oct 31, 2026
3%
Always verify contract rules before trading.Contract rules ↓

Contract Rules: Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Raw venue wording can differ even when titles match. Kalshi often shows one representative contract when rules vary by outcome—open the venue for the full set.

KKalshi
Representative · 31 outcomes

For Michael Olise

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Description

If Michael Olise wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Resolves
Jan 1, 2027
PPolymarket
Shared · 19 outcomes
View contract

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Closes
Oct 31, 2026